HomeLatestPress ReleaseA Reset of U.S. Policy Toward Ethiopia is Long Overdue 

A Reset of U.S. Policy Toward Ethiopia is Long Overdue 

U.S. Policy Toward Ethiopia

Congress of Ethiopian Civic Associations (CECA)
Press Release

It is our sincere belief that the ad hoc American foreign policy toward Ethiopia since 1974 has  been disastrous for both countries. The impending departure of Amb. Mike Hammer as the U.S.  Envoy to the Horn of Africa and the election of Donald J. Trump as president provide a great  opportunity to reset U.S. policy toward Ethiopia in particular and the hopelessly destabilized  Horn of Africa in general. Ethiopia, the anchor state of the region, must be rescued from two  competing dictatorships in a manner that honors the democratic aspirations of the Ethiopian people  and the enlightened interests of the American people. 

The United States has regrettably pursued a highly militarized approach of “our man in the  presidential palace” at each critical point for systemic change in the past. As in the Cold War  period, this mindset remains opportunistic and views the region as an appendage to U.S. policy  toward the Middle East, the Persian Gulf, and the Indian Ocean.  

U.S. policy toward the Horn of Africa understandably embraces multiple and conflicting  objectives, including the promotion of peace and security through counter-terrorism engagement;  protection of the strategic Red Sea and Indian Ocean trade routes; promotion of regional  dominance by establishing military bases; shoring up client regimes through security, soft  financing, and humanitarian assistance; promotion of economic development and mutually  beneficial trade; and containment of global competitors, especially China and Russia.  

While these geopolitical goals are understandable, the unprincipled and imperious posture of the  U.S. and the E.U. betrays the professed commitment to human rights, the rule of law, and  democracy building. Nor has this hegemonic mentality saved the two Sudans, Somalia, Eritrea,  and Ethiopia from degenerating into failed states. Well over a million have died over the past five  years, the world’s worst famines are underway, and many more millions displaced as a result of  incessant civil wars, all of which are making Rwanda a child’s play. 

We wish to note here that the United States abandoned and unfairly punished the Ethiopian people  for the misdeeds of a brutal military dictatorship that lasted 17 years (1974-1991) by facilitating  the takeover of the state by three secessionist groups claiming to represent Eritreans, Tigreans, and  the Oromo. Following the secession of Eritrea in 1993 (which landlocked Ethiopia), the Tigrean  People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) instituted exclusionary minority rule in the form of an ethnocratic constitution, blatant ethnic favoritism, widespread use of violence to suppress dissent,  and unprecedented land grabbing. To have the U.S. look the other way, the TPLF offered itself as  a dependable ally against terrorism in the region by occupying Somalia and offering soldiers-for hire in several African countries in the name of peacekeeping. 

After the TPLF mafia was ejected from Addis Ababa in 2018 by a faction led by Abiy Ahmed’s  Oromo mafia, it tried to regain power by triggering a civil war in late 2020, which it lost at the  cost of devastation for the Tigray, Afar, and Amhara regional states. The U.S. envoys, in a bid to  save the TPLF, pushed for the Pretoria Agreement on cessation of hostilities in 2022 as a linchpin  of American policy. While this initiative silenced the guns, the key terms for ensuring durable  peace (disarmament, demobilization, reconstruction, and transitional justice) remain  unimplemented two years later.  

More tellingly, the fateful exclusion of the Amhara regional militia (who fought valiantly with the  Federal forces to restore illegally annexed Amhara districts and push back the marauding Tigrean  forces) from the Pretoria Agreement rendered it less than useless. Fearing uprisings from the long  maligned 50 million-strong Amhara throughout the country, the Oromo supremacist regime of  Abiye Ahmed unleashed a more ominous civil war in the Amhara Regional State (with a population  of over 30 million) in May 2023 and elsewhere in the country. The pretext for selective and  unprovoked attempt to disarm the Amhara militia while ignoring the large Oromo and Tigrean  militias has triggered a fierce popular resistance that threatens to disintegrate the country.  

The avoidable uprising of the Amhara Fanno movement has, in just a year and a half, liberated 90  percent of the countryside of the Amhara Regional State. The Ethiopian Army, on the verge of  defeat, as it engages in illegal police functions to protect the regime, has launched an air campaign  with drones and bomber jets that have indiscriminately murdered civilians, committed mass rape  of women, and devastated schools (leaving some 6 million pupils out of school) and hospitals. The  ground forces routinely use indiscriminate killings, mass rape, mass arrest, and mass looting as  instruments of state terrorism. All these acts of state terrorism have involved ethnic cleansing, war  crimes, and genocidal acts with impunity. 

Sadly, the international press has resorted to a conspiracy of silence about the plight of the Amhara  people. This baffling response is not about the lack of evidence. The Ethiopian Human Rights  Council, Amnesty International, the U.N. Human Rights Council, the State Department’s annual  human rights review, and Human Rights Watch have issued blood-curdling reports. 

We, therefore, ask the U.S. Government and its allies to end the lip service and endless firefighting to reset the Africa policy in favor of a win-win approach. Our recommendations are as follows: 

1. Regime change: The removal of the unhinged Abiye Ahmed and the ruling party. The  U.N. Security Council must forward to the ICJ and the ICC senior members of his  government for war crimes, ethnically motivated political violence, and genocide; 

2. Political settlement: Give official recognition to the legitimate self-defense by the  Amhara Fanno against displacement and extermination by going beyond empty calls  for dialog to offer a genuine peace deal, a DDR (disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration) program with transitional justice, and constitutional reform that would  lead to internationally supervised free and fair elections; and 

3. Support for the democratic opposition: The U.S. can serve as a facilitator of democratic  transition by openly supporting the besieged Ethiopian civic movement and the  opposition political parties calling for systemic change to end polarization for good. In  this regard, the Ethiopian Diaspora can provide counsel and serve as a bridge between  the two countries to extricate the country from a political and economic quagmire. 

Thank you.

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