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How worse Ethiopia’s crisis has to be before the upper echelons of the Prosperity Party raise some serious questions?

Ethiopia _ Prosperity Party _ crisis
Abiy Ahmed during Prosperity Party first congress ( Photo credit : africanews)


The first two years of Abiy Ahmed’s administration were marked by a widespread security crisis in the country. From Benishangul Gumuz to the Oromia region to South Ethiopia violence claimed tens of thousands of lives. There were also assassinations from regional state heads to the Defense Chief of Staff of Ethiopia to the assassination of an ethnic Oromo singer.  

Initially, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s administration attempted to explain the situation as the work of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front  (TPLF), he called them “Day time hyenas!” at the time. Also, it was linked as the works of external forces – primarily Egypt- who have a vested interest in the destabilization of the country. 

However, the situation is not improving even after the TPLF and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed ended their hostility after concluding a two years long war that claimed the lives of over one million citizens. 

The Gambella region of Ethiopia introduced  a state of emergency earlier this week after dozens of people were killed in an incident that was rather given an appearance of ethnic violence. 

In Benishangul Gumuz region, over 700 armed militants who were earlier said to have made peace with the regional administration, after years of incessant violence that mostly targeted ethnic Amhara, are reported to have returned to the jungles – and armed.  Residents and eyewitnesses from the region have confirmed the news to Ethiopian Media Service earlier this week. Federal security forces deployed in the region were unable to stop them while heading to the jungle – seemingly to wage an organized banditry attack on civilians. 

In the North, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) has reportedly reorganized and mobilized forces with the aim to wage war on Amhara region over Wolkait and Raya areas – areas which the TPLF included to the Tigray region through a combination of military force and political drama. 

In the Amhara region, FANO force – a volunteer group that helped the Federal Forces defeat the TPLF forces who marched all the way to the 150 kilometers north of the capital in a period of less than two years after the TPLF leaders ordered attack on the Northern command of the the Ethiopian Defense Force in November 2020 – are under attack from the Federal government forces. The report from local sources is that the government forces are losing in some places. There are even areas and towns that are said to be under the control of the FANO. To describe the situation with better accuracy, at least the Federal government is not fully in control of the situation in the Amhara region and there is noticeable animosity towards the Federal and regional governments. 

In the Oromo region of Ethiopia, what the regional government calls -OLF- Shane – has made it practically impossible to have stability in the region. It is not secret now that majority of Ethiopians think this radical ethnic nationalist group is armed and supported by the government (both at the federal and regional levels). It is intended to be a tool for the campaign to consolidate power and Oromize – at least the region and Addis Ababa. At times the group is used as a disruptive forces with the mission to make the region ungovernable. At other times, it seem to be used as a bargaining power to leverage more power to the dominant Oromo elites at the government. In fact, even opposition radical ethnic nationalist Oromo elites who are “peacefully” struggling from the center seem to be emboldened in their claims (and some of them advocate for ‘peaceful resolution’ of the crisis in the region in as exercise of lip-service) as the “OLF-Shane” increasingly appearing “intimidating” force making passengers travel to and from the capital impossible, massacring ethnic Amhara civilians in the Oromia region. 

Overall, the security situation in Ethiopia is not improving. In fact, it is getting worse. Ethiopians are concerned for their safety on a daily basis to the point that traveling from one part of Ethiopia to the other has become a  risky  business as  citizens are not sure if they are able to make it safely to and from the capital, Addis Ababa, from . For that matter, the security situation in Addis Ababa itself is not reliable for residents. 

In the meantime, the Federal government continues to deflect attention from the security crisis situation that is literally threatening the existence of the country.  Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s administration seems to be rather mobilizing state-owned media outlets to project an image of Ethiopia that is marching towards “prosperity” while in reality the country is fragmenting and experiencing multiple active security problems in different parts of the country. From “What export” ( while the country is starting and food prices are unbearable for the majority of Ethiopians) to “green legacy,” narratives, in which the Prime Minister is at the very core of it, are meant to cover the crisis. The result is that the security situation is getting worse. 

All this is happening at a time when the Federal government and the Defense Force is claiming that the Defense Force is in a better standing, than ever before, to deter any form of threat to Ethiopia. 

Some members of the parliament from the opposition quarter have been calling for, twice, the resignation of the prime minister – to which he kind of bluffed. 

There have been calls for the formation of a transitional government which fell on deaf ear too.  Although on the surface, Abiy seems to be at odds with the west on the surface, deep down his government , as a stooge, seems to be getting all sorts of support from western powers.  He is getting the support not because His government is  better on the human rights front as rights abuse is now pervasive in the country. 

When Abiy took power in 2018, the hope was that he would deal with the chronic political problem that divided the country along ethnic lines – a reality where most of Ethiopia’s security and political problem is emanating from. As it turns out, Abiy played it even worse than the TPLF. There were times when he was name calling an ethnic group in the parliament in a sense of ethnic profiling ( and this has audio visual evidence). 

Now, clearly Abiy’s administration is not the answer to Ethiopia’s problem as it is worsening it (all these without mentioning the economic hardship that Ethiopians are living on a daily basis) . How worse is the problem to be before the upper echelons of the Prosperity Party admit it and start internal conversations towards not only finding a way out of the problem but also addressing it head on in a lasting fashion. The Defense Force has to be careful not to forget its core mission – Ethiopia, not serving the Abiy Ahmed regime – whose mission has turned out to be, from what is existing on the ground, demolishing Ethiopia as we know it. 


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  1. Subject: “How worse Ethiopia’s crisis has to be before the upper echelons of the Prosperity Party raise some serious questions?, July 22, 2023

    Humble Reaction,
    1. I believe the cardinal question for the disgrace of Ethiopia is squarely on Ethiopia itself.
    2. Prosperity Party is just one of the elements of disgrace to Ethiopia.
    3. To repeat, ETHIOPIA, in ITS ENTIRETY, is the culprit
    4. Therefore, skirting around will only prolong the World’s laughter on pathetic ETHIOPIA itself.
    5. As the Amharic saying goese : ‘ yealem mesaKiya’ >>> ‘laughing stock of the world
    6. Is that what Ethiopia is aspiring to be?!?!?!?!?!
    7. The laughing stoke of the World !?!?!?!?
    8. SPIRITS of Ethiopian Glorious Heroes of the past must be rolling in their graves.
    9. What a disgraceful history in a country known for its far – sightedness and gracious personalities. with countless
    educated scholars, holders of the highest degree of Doctor of Philosophy, in the WORLD. !?!?!?
    10. There is something wrong!!!!!!!

  2. To say failure and disappointments the the pile up of political, security and ideological blunders made so far by Abiy and his upstart and copy cut PP affiliates in the 5 years are understatement it was an unparalleled disaster in the making. In any you look at it. May be what even worse or hartful was rhe expection many people vestted in his promused made to the peopke , which turned out outrught lies and fraudulent . Worse, he still seems acting eithet as though is doing something worthy or ordoesnt get truly his big mistakes and doesn’t has selfawarness of about the full picture of his dismal leadership role so far.

  3. This is to my dear countrymen/women among our Diaspora here in Canada who do business with companies in Taiwan. If are planning to travel there next week thru the end of this month I highly suggest you amend your travel plan. A very violent typhoon is heading there and will make a land fall right at the half point of that island on July 26, 2023 with a destructive speed of more than 170 Mph. Cities like Kaohsiung, Tainan, Taichung including Taipei will be on the path of this typhoon. Please make a note of this and revisit your plan. Just wanna share this you as a heads up. I hope the good people of Taiwan will fare better this time around. That island nation is my darling.

  4. To say failure and disappointments the pile up of political, security and ideological blunders made so far by Abiy and his upstart and copy cut PP affiliates in the 5 years are understatemen. It was an unparalleled disaster in the making. In any way you look at it. May be what is even worse or hartful was rhe expectations many people have vestted in his words and promuses he made to the peopke at the time , which turned out to be outrught lies and fraudulent . Worse, he still seems acting eithet as though he is doing something worthy or he didnt get truly his big mistakes or doesn’t has selfawarness of the full picture of his dismal leadership role so far. Etheir way he completly lost the confidence and high regard masses had once on him as a refomer, competen, rational and honest leader. Intead , he increasingly seems an aspring tin -pot dictator , whose main procreation is how to amass raw power by himself and at the expense of the sttate institutions and the civic space.

  5. All Ethiopians must loudly denounce Abiy Ahmed for his sacrilegious act, which led to the desecration , & destruction of revered buildings and historical landmarks like Washa Michael church , ዋሻ ሚካኤል etc .

    Abiy Amhed and Fanno and Eritrean army are vandals, iconoclasts, & desecrators.

    They are not just vandals, but also genocoders , iconoclasts , desecrators, and possesses all the qualities of profaners and arsonists.

  6. Nations, nationalities and People in Ethiopia enjoyed fast economic growth and democratic rights before the wrong Oromo (Quero) uprising and Abiy takeover. The Oromo youth were misinformed amd misled to rise up against a democratic government. Oromia is the gift of Tigray to the Oromo people. .

    • You are living in delusion. Nobody envies TPLF. Both TPLF and PP are the same. In a short while most Ethiopians will realize the mistake made in believing Abiye and a course correction will be make. An old and proud nation of Ethiopia with modern administrative organization will be borne soon through the struggle of Fanno.

  7. Ethiopians back home should never let My Past be Their Future: NEVER leave Ethiopia! Instead, CHASE OUT “The Enemy Within” [Ethiopia’s enemies bleeding Ethiopia bone-dry & wreaking havoc wrapped in the Ethiopian flag wearing the X/Y/Z Activist Hats].

    1). Abiy is trying to transform Ethiopia’s image from “The World’s Poster Child of Poverty & Famine” TO “The World’s Poster Child of Prosperity & Greenery!” – Against ALL Odds! So, sing along with me to that:

    2). Should Ethiopians back home take any advice from the ‘Ethiopian Diaspora (ED)’? Short Answer: NO!!! ≥70% of ‘ED’ are beneficiaries of former tyrant regimes [officials, scholarship recipients, etc.]. So, all they want is returning to power without being elected!

    They are the same ones who made Ethiopia synonymous with “The World’s Poster Child of Poverty & Famine” & tarnished Ethiopia’s image for good. Do these songs ring a bell?

    i). Tilahun Gessesse’s: “ዋይ! ዋይ! ዋይ!” – ሲሉ – “የረሃብን ጉንፋን ሲስሉ ….” [Circa 1975].
    ii). ‘The World’s national anthem for Ethiopia’: “We are the World!” … [Circa 1985]

  8. Borkena’s editorial of July 22, 2023 paints a grim picture of Ethiopia’s security situation and criticizes Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s administration. However, let’s examine the arguments against the points made in the editorial:
    1. Attributing all problems to Abiy Ahmed’s administration: While it is essential to hold leaders accountable, it is unfair to blame all the security crises solely on Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s administration. Ethiopia has a long history of ethnic tensions and conflicts that predate Abiy’s tenure.
    2. Dismissing external factors: The editorial seems to downplay the role of external forces, such as Egypt’s interest in destabilizing Ethiopia. While internal issues are crucial, external influences can exacerbate existing problems, and dismissing them outright is not prudent.
    3. Minimizing the role of armed groups: The editorial seems to downplay the actions of armed groups like the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and OLF-Shane. These groups have been involved in violence and should be held accountable for their actions.
    4. Simplifying complex regional conflicts: Ethiopia’s security challenges are multi-faceted, involving different ethnic groups and regional tensions. Reducing the conflicts to simplistic narratives may oversimplify the complexities involved in finding solutions.
    5. Criticizing development efforts: While it is crucial to address security issues, it is unfair to dismiss development efforts, such as the “green legacy,” as mere distractions. Development initiatives can have positive impacts and should not be undermined.
    6. Overlooking Abiy’s initial reforms: The editorial fails to acknowledge some positive reforms and changes that Abiy Ahmed’s administration initiated, including efforts to promote political openness and economic development.
    7. Ignoring Ethiopia’s historical challenges: The editorial puts too much blame on Abiy’s administration while overlooking the historical challenges of ethnic division that have long plagued Ethiopia’s political landscape.
    8. Questioning Abiy’s intentions: The editorial assumes ulterior motives for Abiy Ahmed’s actions without providing concrete evidence. It is essential to differentiate between speculation and verified information.
    9. Disregarding the complexities of governing Ethiopia: Leading a diverse nation like Ethiopia with deeply entrenched ethnic divisions is challenging. The editorial should consider the broader context in which Abiy is operating.
    10. Lack of comprehensive solutions: While the editorial criticizes Abiy Ahmed’s administration, it does not offer comprehensive alternatives or proposals to address Ethiopia’s security challenges effectively.
    In conclusion, while there are valid concerns about Ethiopia’s security situation, the editorial’s arguments against Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s administration are somewhat one-sided and overlook important contextual factors. A more balanced and nuanced analysis would be necessary to understand the complexities of the country’s security crisis and find lasting solutions.


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