Is Ethiopia the next Ukraine (By Worku Gebeyehu Lakew)

By Worku Gebeyehu Lakew, author of Empire and Revolution in Ethiopia, AA, 2018
April 1,2019

The question is not as sensational as it sounds. Admittedly, there is no longer any serious
soviet/Russian presence in Ethiopia/HOA and Africom, the Djibouti based US command for Africa is not NATO. If the United States is in Ethiopia, as it is, it will be because of African and Middle Eastern geopolitics but a more recent addition to these factors is the presence of China, it’s newly declared existential threat. China is deeply embedded within the Ethiopian economy and easily, its largest investor and source of imports and technology. And there is a contested swing from Chinese
influence in economic development strategy which had taken place in the period after the death of
Prime Minister Meles, but started during the last few years of his rule, towards a more confident
neoliberalism and towards the United States, now and still in the making.However the driving shift that the title of this article suggests is not one of cold war driven geopolitics but of political
economy and direction of the future development of the country. While this is in some ways in a
state of flux, in other ways the US has long ago decided that it is in the interest of the national
security of the US to be the dominant superpower geo-politically, and from a security and military
viewpoint, in Ethiopia. Increasingly, this shift is also happening in the field of the development of the economy and capital markets. One of the key questions is, can the national security interest of China accept being subordinated to the US and can its economic interests be totally in hoc to this global hegemonic superpower in Ethiopia? While this is an important question the article’s main focus is the changes that have already taken place in Ethiopia and what may still be happening in the near future.

Editor’s note : to read full article, please click links provided below

PDF file of part I of the article
PDF file of part II of the article



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2 Responses to "Is Ethiopia the next Ukraine (By Worku Gebeyehu Lakew)"

  1. lulu   April 6, 2019 at 12:20 pm

    This is great article.

    Reply
  2. lulu   April 6, 2019 at 1:54 pm

    I hope comment yaderekuten at least tanebutalachehu or sehafiw yagegnewal. Note, awo zare metergom kelal niw gin lemanegnawem amharic fidel app selelegn yekerta.

    Betam teru meker niw, minalbatim yeityopia meriwoch yagegnutal. Alebelezia egna ityooianoch guaro bemenegager lebezu amet ityooian yetem alaramedatim especially, erse berse yetem ager eneur, abren tesatfen lageritu bezu metkem senechil, telatoch baskemetulin zede, yihew diasporaw chemir bezer eytenakore yegegnal. Ende sehafiw yale sewoch tesebasbew sele ityopia gudai menegager ena aand neger madreg. Ene, ageritu adega lai kehonech, aydelem tesebasbo aand neger madreg, betaaam yezegeye niw meslo yemityegn. Yam hone yeh, nekenakyachin keguaro weto behebret endet ityooian metadeg endemenechil regardless who is in power, madreg yalebinen madreg niw. Lemesale, adega lai yemiyadergaten ityopian lemekelakel, yalemen derejet metekem niw. Ya becha saihon, yihew yeityoipawinoch tebeber, telat sesero bemaygebabet zede yetenekere institution makukuam yenorebenal. Yihem, too late yehone yemeslegnal. Guaro lalkut neger, bemegnot, Dr abiy yihen yanebal tebelo yihen yemesele teru meker yetedekemebet kentu yehonal yityopia yagebanal lemilu sewoch including Dr.,aby. Aydelem Dr, aby, beye kilil yalu ene lema megersam hone, demeke mekonen, lelochim bebezu zerf wist yemiseru derjitoch medres alebet. Batekalay, lebezuhanu. Bekerb gize media lai yayehut gileseb, “ager, ende eka befestal legeleseb aysetem “yalew lene betam tekikil niw. Maletem, ityopia democraiawi behone meged enditeketel hezb dr aby lai kefetegna teseno madreg endalebet niw. Alebelezia, abzagnaw deha agerat dictator yemihonut be hodmochena wechi teseno enesun lemetkem becha yedergal. Lezih niw, Dr aby ewnet kehone, kehezb gar mesrat endalebet niw. Yam hone yeh, yewech interest beteley bemenakachew ageroch, Dr aby lai teseno mederegu aykere niw. Meknyatum belela deha ager lai tarik alachew, leityppiam aykerelatim.

    Ende ase minilik, h/selassie /lulu of brazil mesale meriwoch benewesd, of course lulu of brazil yekerb selehone, endenezih aynet meriwoch, endet agerachewen tebekew, economy/yegnawochu, wede edget yemiyasked mewaker bemejemrachew, endet ke hailegna wech ager gar balemetenakol agren masked zede niw. Lulu of brazil bezu deha hezbun wede middle class yewesedew, mix economy bemetekemu niw ke wech corporation garem eyesera. Gin yrwechiwochu yagerun hezb yebelete eytekeme bemehonu, wedajenetem aytekemachewem ke self interest belai, endezam hono aweredut. Selezih, dr aby ewnet kehone (ewnet yalkut teretare selalegn niw), betaam shrewed, tenekake madreg alebet.,kemanegnawem belai ityooia adega lai yakobekobech yemeslal.

    Yihe sehuf meker bihonim, chigeroch eyakobekobu yemetut balemetkeseh, endet mejemeria yeityopia dehmemetena tebeka mekeset endalebetena bezerzer min medereg endalebet altekeskem. Bezu yemiyasegu negeroch alu : ke tplf wede olf agezaz yeteshagere , endetekeskew bekilil ende kebt yetatere hezb ena, bezer ayn kuragna yemiteyay hezb endet wede bego economy mezergat yechalal? Lezihem endezih yezer agezaz hon tebelo, ageritun ende hostage yeyaze ena, meriwochim hone yewechiwochu yemitekemubet zede niw yemifeleguten eskeemiyagegnu deres. Yihe malet yemifelegut lenesu interest bicha enji lageritu yemitekem abzagnawen gize aydelem. Yemimeslegn, dr abyen yewechiwochu yefeleguten lemaggnet lemesale ertran, wey atki groupochen bemasferarat yagegnalu malet niw. Dr abyem beteraw bego lahone, hezben lik ende tplf be article 39, be tplf weyem be olf masferarat yechilal. Andand fenchochim alu yihen yemadreg. Lelaw yaltekeskew, yertra gudai genuine kehone
    genegnenetu melakm niw, kalhones? Min mina niw ertra eytechawetech yalew sele ityooia gudai, bego weys aydelem? Ene yemiyasfeferagn, hezb focus yemiyadergew, yihen negeroch sayhon, yezer gudai niw. Yeh menakor yemiyakomew tenkara amerar sinorew niw. Bekelel fragmented yehone ager ende minilik beteshshale huneta aand madreg enji, ageritu yebelete wede torenet mehed techelalech. Lezihem niw ageritun ezih deres yaderesuat yewech hageratena nesawchiwoch, lehezb sayhon ende aand ager, legel tekem becha niw.

    Lelaw degmo, yeteyaz ende ityooia ager, agerun endemigoda tedergo yihe system tekebel, as in the case of neoliberalism, communism before, saytena, leotyopia yetkem aytkem bemaytawekebetena, ityooianoch erasachew tenat adergew yalhone system ityopia lai befitem hone ahun bemimetaw neoliberalism bezu waga yaskefelena yemiyaskegel aykere niw. Selezih bego meri ena yagebagnal yemilu ityooianoch, kefetegna tenat bemadreg cooy paste balhonena, manenetan, yalechebet geography akemamet huneta kelelawem ager yetesakalachew ena yalew yeityooia esetoch hybrid bemadreg, system mekemt yechalal. Economiwem, endezihu mix ena hybrid behone mewaker yekemetal.

    Manenten elem adergo atfto hezb bego balhone legenzeb lematref kewech agerat gar bememsater, weyem teketoch /bezer tederajto kewechoch gar madreg, ageritun zektet wist niw yemiketat. Perfect bayhonem eske 3 amet befit, Ghana endet systemachewen bemix poleticalena economy bek belalech. Ityooianoch endezih aynet agerat bemegobgnet mesale kemihonu, brazil, Singapore, taiwan,lelochim, leityooia yemitekmu mewaker metkel akmua bemichlew. Ghana kebahelu alrakem. Abatochin bemakber, eskezare deres meret bechieftan fekad endehone yasayal. Endeneberew, azawentoch meker lemeriwoch telek minna alachew. Egnam, boranan legel zer tekem kemadreg, yemeret ayayzem hone agezaz teru eset yalew yemeslegnal. Endezihum. Abatoch bemiyawkut agezaz beteleyaye yeityopia k/hager hasab wesdo ageritu bezemenawi huneta maramed yeras manenet saytefa. Yahun ye aby agezaz segate, olfen selechemere. Olf wede extremist yehone ende tplf, aydelem yeityppian manenet, ye oromon manenet yetewe niw lemsale : bekerb ken wist, amaregna sehuf teten, latinen guroruachen lai liyasweten niw, aydelem yeleoch ityooian jegnoch yetewadekulat bandira yeoromon jegnoch akuasew yareb /egypt bandira tekeblew, mela afrikan bandira yemiyanubet stripe arenguade becha keyen mastew niw (by the way olf bandira eske 20 liders yechilal, yahunu bek yalechiw bandira zaf yalat hon tebelo keityopia bandira lemeleyet yemideregew teret niw), yeneberewen ortodoxen hone wake fetan teto protestantena, salafist islamen mekebel) enezihen olf yezo yemetaw manenten yematfat gudai niw yihe gif erasu oromo hezben kewendemochu beselam endaynor 27 amet sigat. Manim ityooia yagebagnal yihe sehete niw belo neswaet yekefele yelem. Hezb bebado baher lai eyemote niw mesawet yemikeflew., thank you.

    I hope lesehafiw yedersal. Mokre, yeletefachehut neger yelem. Zim beye endaldekem niw.

    Reply

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